| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | VMI | 73-3 | 1655.1 | +16.5 | 1671.6 | 99.3% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Old Dominion | 44-21 | 1671.6 | +43.9 | 1715.5 | 77.0% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Maryland | 35-26 | 1715.5 | +36.2 | 1751.7 | 41.8% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | Boston College | 21-14 | 1751.7 | -52.0 | 1699.7 | 88.1% |
| 5 | Oct 2 2026 | L | Pittsburgh | 33-35 | 1699.7 | -2.3 | 1697.4 | 33.9% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | California | 20-25 | 1697.4 | -25.3 | 1672.1 | 78.2% |